Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026
Portillo / Parmigiani v Casali / Margherita
Pre-match odds
34%
Avg Elo 1439
66%
Avg Elo 1496
Elo gap 57
Portillo / Parmigiani won as slight underdogs (34%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Portillo / ParmigianiCasali / Margherita
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 55%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 14%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 44%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 83%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.