The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026

Gallardo / Perez v Santos / Perez

Pre-match odds

Upset
Gallardo / Perez

67%

Avg Elo 1534

Santos / Perez

33%

Avg Elo 1474

Elo gap 61

Santos / Perez won with a 33% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gallardo / PerezSantos / Perez

46%
Points won
54%
51%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
49%
52%
1st-serve points won
62%
46%
2nd-serve points won
55%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
45%
Points won returning 2nd serve
54%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
54%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
46%
57%
1st-serve points won
67%
43%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
100%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5
1
Double faults
0

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
47%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
53%
46%
1st-serve points won
57%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
38%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.