QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 7, 2026
Castillon / Vano v Ortiz / Kurz
Pre-match odds
Castillon / Vano
48%
Avg Elo 1526
Ortiz / Kurz
52%
Avg Elo 1535
Elo gap 9
Castillon / Vano won a near coin flip (48%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castillon / VanoOrtiz / Kurz
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 38%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 13
53%
59%
46%
59%
62%
47%
40%
86%
7
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 5
43%
42%
43%
44%
33%
47%
20%
67%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
63%
74%
50%
76%
67%
50%
50%
100%
7
4
Set 3
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
58%
67%
48%
62%
100%
46%
100%
100%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.