QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 7, 2026
Stellato / Sussarello v Las Heras / Mesa
Pre-match odds
Stellato / Sussarello
32%
Avg Elo 1517
Las Heras / Mesa
68%
Avg Elo 1584
Elo gap 67
Las Heras / Mesa delivered as 68% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stellato / SussarelloLas Heras / Mesa
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 61%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 83%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 8
- Double faults 0
32%
39%
27%
42%
0%
27%
29%
100%
4
7
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 77%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 86%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 82%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
- Double faults 0
23%
14%
29%
18%
0%
27%
50%
0%
2
3
1
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
39%
55%
26%
55%
0%
27%
20%
100%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.