The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 7, 2026

Dubins / Ramme v Portillo / Parmigiani

Pre-match odds

Dubins / Ramme

80%

Avg Elo 1592

Portillo / Parmigiani

20%

Avg Elo 1470

Elo gap 122

Dubins / Ramme delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dubins / RammePortillo / Parmigiani

57%
Points won
43%
77%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
23%
78%
1st-serve points won
64%
60%
2nd-serve points won
53%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
47%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
22%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
83%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
17%
83%
1st-serve points won
68%
100%
2nd-serve points won
44%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
20%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
72%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
28%
75%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.