The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 25, 2026

Salazar / Osoro v Collombon / Sharifova

Piste Centrale Ville De Lyon

Pre-match odds

Upset
Salazar / Osoro

89%

Avg Elo 1797

Collombon / Sharifova

11%

Avg Elo 1619

Elo gap 178

Collombon / Sharifova won with a 11% chance — about 1 in 9.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.