The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Roglan / Aragon v Hazebroek / Panken

Winner
66
Court 3

Pre-match odds

Roglan / Aragon

81%

Avg Elo 1546

Hazebroek / Panken

19%

Avg Elo 1422

Elo gap 125

Roglan / Aragon delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Roglan / AragonHazebroek / Panken

62%
Points won
38%
80%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
20%
82%
1st-serve points won
49%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
80%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
20%
84%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
40%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
80%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.