The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Muñoz / Zamora v Barbosa / Conte

Winner
567
Court 3

Pre-match odds

Muñoz / Zamora

58%

Avg Elo 1469

Barbosa / Conte

42%

Avg Elo 1439

Elo gap 30

Barbosa / Conte won as slight underdogs (42%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Muñoz / ZamoraBarbosa / Conte

50%
Points won
50%
63%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
63%
43%
2nd-serve points won
67%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
22%
Break points converted
38%
5
Longest run of points
5
17
Service games
17
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
62%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
38%
69%
1st-serve points won
57%
17%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
50%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
67%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
62%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
38%
64%
1st-serve points won
65%
57%
2nd-serve points won
62%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.