Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026
Jans / Hermus v Mouriño / Navarro
Pre-match odds
Jans / Hermus
22%
Avg Elo 1346
Mouriño / Navarro
78%
Avg Elo 1458
Elo gap 112
Mouriño / Navarro delivered as 78% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jans / HermusMouriño / Navarro
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 58%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
42%
52%
31%
54%
42%
35%
0%
0%
4
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
42%
52%
33%
56%
40%
36%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
43%
51%
27%
53%
43%
33%
0%
0%
3
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.