The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Lamperti / Alvarez v Miranda / Vanbauce

Pre-match odds

Lamperti / Alvarez

45%

Avg Elo 1467

Miranda / Vanbauce

55%

Avg Elo 1484

Elo gap 18

Lamperti / Alvarez won as slight underdogs (45%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lamperti / AlvarezMiranda / Vanbauce

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
30%
68%
1st-serve points won
57%
86%
2nd-serve points won
60%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
38%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
65%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
35%
61%
1st-serve points won
53%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
75%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
25%
75%
1st-serve points won
59%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
25%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.