The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Courrin / Seux v Van Opstal / Guimet

Winner
66
Court 3

Pre-match odds

Courrin / Seux

55%

Avg Elo 1469

Van Opstal / Guimet

45%

Avg Elo 1451

Elo gap 18

Courrin / Seux delivered as 55% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Courrin / SeuxVan Opstal / Guimet

58%
Points won
42%
75%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
25%
78%
1st-serve points won
59%
40%
2nd-serve points won
40%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
72%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
28%
81%
1st-serve points won
62%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
77%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
23%
75%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.