Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026
Rodriguez / Peña v Groen / Groen
Pre-match odds
Rodriguez / Peña
46%
Avg Elo 1471
Groen / Groen
54%
Avg Elo 1484
Elo gap 13
Groen / Groen won a near coin flip (54%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Rodriguez / PeñaGroen / Groen
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 44%
- Break points converted 36%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 14
50%
58%
41%
58%
56%
42%
25%
50%
5
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
46%
60%
29%
58%
75%
31%
0%
0%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 42%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
60%
64%
58%
64%
0%
54%
100%
75%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
45%
52%
39%
54%
40%
44%
0%
100%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.