The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Dollimore / Cecchi v Naranjo / Zapata

Pre-match odds

Dollimore / Cecchi

48%

Avg Elo 1471

Naranjo / Zapata

52%

Avg Elo 1476

Elo gap 6

Naranjo / Zapata won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dollimore / CecchiNaranjo / Zapata

32%
Points won
68%
47%
Points won on serve
86%
14%
Points won on return
53%
45%
1st-serve points won
88%
67%
2nd-serve points won
80%
12%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
8
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

34%
Points won
66%
56%
Points won on serve
91%
9%
Points won on return
44%
55%
1st-serve points won
90%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
10%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5

Set 2

29%
Points won
71%
35%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
65%
35%
1st-serve points won
83%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
1
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.