The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Belluati / Mena v Robert / Boronad

Winner
646
Court 4

Pre-match odds

Belluati / Mena

54%

Avg Elo 1502

Robert / Boronad

46%

Avg Elo 1488

Elo gap 14

Robert / Boronad won a near coin flip (46%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Belluati / MenaRobert / Boronad

45%
Points won
55%
61%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
39%
57%
1st-serve points won
73%
90%
2nd-serve points won
67%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
10%
40%
Break points converted
44%
5
Longest run of points
6
13
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

39%
Points won
61%
63%
Points won on serve
95%
5%
Points won on return
37%
58%
1st-serve points won
100%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
0%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
76%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
24%
77%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

43%
Points won
57%
42%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
58%
35%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
60%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.