Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026
Meijer / Nolten v Roper / Släryd
Pre-match odds
Meijer / Nolten
37%
Avg Elo 1489
Roper / Släryd
63%
Avg Elo 1537
Elo gap 48
Roper / Släryd delivered as 63% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Meijer / NoltenRoper / Släryd
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
40%
51%
23%
53%
29%
24%
17%
0%
3
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
45%
58%
28%
62%
33%
28%
25%
0%
3
5
Set 2
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 59%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
32%
41%
14%
42%
0%
17%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.