Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026
Merino / Sousa v Moragues / Fonteny
Pre-match odds
Merino / Sousa
19%
Avg Elo 1450
Moragues / Fonteny
81%
Avg Elo 1576
Elo gap 127
Moragues / Fonteny delivered as 81% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Merino / SousaMoragues / Fonteny
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 79%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 49%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
38%
52%
21%
51%
60%
21%
25%
100%
8
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 66%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
34%
48%
20%
50%
0%
17%
50%
0%
3
3
Set 2
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
40%
56%
23%
52%
75%
25%
0%
100%
8
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.