The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Insa / Miñano v Font / Reina

Winner
66
Court 2

Pre-match odds

Insa / Miñano

34%

Avg Elo 1479

Font / Reina

66%

Avg Elo 1536

Elo gap 58

Insa / Miñano won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Insa / MiñanoFont / Reina

59%
Points won
41%
73%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
27%
79%
1st-serve points won
53%
20%
2nd-serve points won
50%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
44%
Break points converted
33%
10
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
71%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
29%
76%
1st-serve points won
54%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
67%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
75%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
25%
82%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
33%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.