The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026

Zweers / Verwater v Nolten / Van Betuw

Winner
477
Court 2

Pre-match odds

Zweers / Verwater

51%

Avg Elo 1489

Nolten / Van Betuw

49%

Avg Elo 1486

Elo gap 3

Nolten / Van Betuw won a near coin flip (49%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Zweers / VerwaterNolten / Van Betuw

50%
Points won
50%
66%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
34%
69%
1st-serve points won
66%
55%
2nd-serve points won
62%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
45%
33%
Break points converted
38%
6
Longest run of points
8
17
Service games
17
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
78%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
22%
80%
1st-serve points won
67%
71%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
67%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
33%
74%
1st-serve points won
69%
44%
2nd-serve points won
57%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
33%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6
1
Double faults
0

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
57%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
33%
6
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.