Round of 32MenSeptember 27, 2026
Gutierrez / Giuliani v Axelsson / Ortega
Pre-match odds
Gutierrez / Giuliani
31%
Avg Elo 1493
Axelsson / Ortega
69%
Avg Elo 1560
Elo gap 68
Axelsson / Ortega delivered as 69% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gutierrez / GiulianiAxelsson / Ortega
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 84%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 89%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 55%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 9
- Double faults 0
36%
55%
16%
58%
45%
11%
38%
0%
7
9
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 80%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 75%
- 1st-serve points won 85%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 75%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 3
- Double faults 0
20%
25%
14%
25%
25%
15%
0%
0%
2
3
1
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 83%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 91%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
44%
71%
17%
75%
57%
9%
43%
0%
7
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.