Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026
Roglan / Aragon v Barbosa / Conte
Pre-match odds
Roglan / Aragon
76%
Avg Elo 1556
Barbosa / Conte
24%
Avg Elo 1454
Elo gap 102
Roglan / Aragon delivered as 76% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Roglan / AragonBarbosa / Conte
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 17
52%
72%
35%
75%
38%
34%
38%
10%
6
17
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 22%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
54%
76%
40%
78%
0%
43%
25%
25%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
48%
68%
31%
69%
50%
29%
50%
0%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
51%
72%
33%
76%
40%
28%
43%
0%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.