The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026

Mouriño / Navarro v Du Pree / Schoonus

Winner
66
Court 3

Pre-match odds

Mouriño / Navarro

40%

Avg Elo 1469

Du Pree / Schoonus

60%

Avg Elo 1505

Elo gap 36

Mouriño / Navarro won as slight underdogs (40%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Mouriño / NavarroDu Pree / Schoonus

60%
Points won
40%
74%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
26%
73%
1st-serve points won
52%
83%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
29%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
71%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
29%
67%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
29%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
14%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

67%
Points won
33%
81%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
19%
86%
1st-serve points won
32%
50%
2nd-serve points won
80%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
43%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.