The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026

Lamperti / Alvarez v Courrin / Seux

Court 3

Pre-match odds

Lamperti / Alvarez

50%

Avg Elo 1491

Courrin / Seux

50%

Avg Elo 1490

Elo gap 1

Lamperti / Alvarez won a near coin flip (50%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lamperti / AlvarezCourrin / Seux

63%
Points won
37%
79%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
21%
81%
1st-serve points won
51%
71%
2nd-serve points won
44%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
50%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
72%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
28%
76%
1st-serve points won
48%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
89%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
11%
87%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.