Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026
Groen / Groen v Naranjo / Zapata
Pre-match odds
Groen / Groen
47%
Avg Elo 1492
Naranjo / Zapata
53%
Avg Elo 1503
Elo gap 11
Naranjo / Zapata won a near coin flip (53%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Groen / GroenNaranjo / Zapata
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 82%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 82%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
39%
54%
18%
53%
60%
18%
20%
0%
4
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 83%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 86%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
43%
59%
17%
53%
100%
14%
50%
0%
4
7
Set 2
- Points won 66%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
34%
46%
20%
53%
20%
24%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.