The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026

Robert / Boronad v Roper / Släryd

Winner
66
Court 2

Pre-match odds

Robert / Boronad

38%

Avg Elo 1511

Roper / Släryd

62%

Avg Elo 1555

Elo gap 44

Roper / Släryd delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Robert / BoronadRoper / Släryd

46%
Points won
54%
49%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
51%
49%
1st-serve points won
59%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
43%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
49%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
51%
45%
1st-serve points won
54%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
50%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
50%
53%
1st-serve points won
68%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
33%
3
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.