Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026
Graupera / Espino v Moragues / Fonteny
Pre-match odds
Graupera / Espino
35%
Avg Elo 1533
Moragues / Fonteny
65%
Avg Elo 1585
Elo gap 52
Moragues / Fonteny delivered as 65% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Graupera / EspinoMoragues / Fonteny
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 11
50%
63%
40%
59%
100%
42%
0%
22%
5
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 30%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
50%
70%
34%
69%
100%
36%
0%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
51%
58%
44%
50%
100%
48%
0%
29%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.