Round of 16MenSeptember 28, 2026
Insa / Miñano v Martinez / Fernandez
Pre-match odds
Insa / Miñano
51%
Avg Elo 1510
Martinez / Fernandez
49%
Avg Elo 1507
Elo gap 3
Insa / Miñano won a near coin flip (51%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Insa / MiñanoMartinez / Fernandez
- Points won 33%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 17%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 38%
- Points won returning 1st serve 14%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 9
67%
83%
53%
86%
50%
51%
62%
100%
13
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 21%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 20%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
58%
79%
37%
80%
67%
33%
67%
100%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 16%
- Points won on serve 22%
- Points won on return 8%
- 1st-serve points won 15%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 0%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
84%
92%
78%
100%
0%
85%
60%
100%
13
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.