QuarterfinalMenSeptember 29, 2026
Lamperti / Alvarez v Naranjo / Zapata
Pre-match odds
Lamperti / Alvarez
47%
Avg Elo 1516
Naranjo / Zapata
53%
Avg Elo 1525
Elo gap 10
Naranjo / Zapata won a near coin flip (53%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Lamperti / AlvarezNaranjo / Zapata
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 45%
- Break points converted 45%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 14
- Aces 1
44%
56%
29%
56%
55%
29%
29%
67%
7
14
0
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
53%
73%
33%
73%
71%
34%
25%
50%
7
6
Set 2
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
37%
48%
20%
48%
50%
21%
0%
0%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
- Aces 1
37%
42%
30%
46%
0%
28%
50%
100%
4
4
0
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.