QuarterfinalMenSeptember 29, 2026
Roper / Släryd v Moragues / Fonteny
Pre-match odds
Roper / Släryd
42%
Avg Elo 1571
Moragues / Fonteny
58%
Avg Elo 1597
Elo gap 27
Moragues / Fonteny delivered as 58% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Roper / SlärydMoragues / Fonteny
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
44%
54%
36%
54%
50%
37%
25%
17%
6
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
49%
58%
40%
59%
50%
41%
33%
17%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
36%
44%
31%
44%
0%
32%
0%
0%
4
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.