Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026
Sanchez / Fernandez v Parmigiani / Kurz
Pre-match odds
Sanchez / Fernandez
42%
Avg Elo 1462
Parmigiani / Kurz
58%
Avg Elo 1490
Elo gap 28
Parmigiani / Kurz delivered as 58% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Sanchez / FernandezParmigiani / Kurz
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 52%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 53%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 14
- Double faults 0
44%
52%
36%
53%
47%
31%
48%
25%
6
13
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 58%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
60%
35%
65%
50%
32%
42%
100%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 64%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
- Double faults 0
36%
38%
35%
36%
50%
38%
25%
50%
3
3
1
Set 3
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
41%
48%
36%
50%
33%
25%
67%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.