The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026

Vazquez / Diaz v Groenveld / Betz

Court 3

Pre-match odds

Vazquez / Diaz

63%

Avg Elo 1509

Groenveld / Betz

37%

Avg Elo 1461

Elo gap 48

Groenveld / Betz won as slight underdogs (37%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Vazquez / DiazGroenveld / Betz

39%
Points won
61%
44%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
56%
45%
1st-serve points won
68%
33%
2nd-serve points won
55%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
45%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
17%
Break points converted
71%
3
Longest run of points
7
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

31%
Points won
69%
38%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
62%
38%
1st-serve points won
79%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
7
3
Service games
4

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
47%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
53%
49%
1st-serve points won
60%
33%
2nd-serve points won
57%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
20%
Break points converted
60%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.