Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026
Marques / Ribeiro v Martinez / Lopez
Pre-match odds
Marques / Ribeiro
25%
Avg Elo 1406
Martinez / Lopez
75%
Avg Elo 1500
Elo gap 95
Martinez / Lopez delivered as 75% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Marques / RibeiroMartinez / Lopez
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 51%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 8
41%
48%
33%
49%
33%
31%
50%
50%
4
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
39%
52%
26%
52%
50%
25%
33%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 53%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 30%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
43%
46%
38%
47%
0%
36%
100%
100%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.