The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026

Dominguez / Bellver v Arteaga / Gomez

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Bellver

66%

Avg Elo 1453

Arteaga / Gomez

34%

Avg Elo 1395

Elo gap 59

Dominguez / Bellver delivered as 66% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / BellverArteaga / Gomez

67%
Points won
33%
77%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
23%
75%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
45%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
76%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
24%
75%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 2

68%
Points won
32%
77%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
23%
75%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.