Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026
Stellato / Sussarello v Ordoñez / Portilla
Pre-match odds
58%
Avg Elo 1512
42%
Avg Elo 1484
Elo gap 29
Stellato / Sussarello delivered as 58% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stellato / SussarelloOrdoñez / Portilla
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 22%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 30%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 17%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.