Round of 16WomenSeptember 28, 2026
Bernard / De Vocht v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Bernard / De Vocht
13%
Avg Elo 1449
Lopez / Fassio
87%
Avg Elo 1617
Elo gap 169
Lopez / Fassio delivered as 87% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Bernard / De VochtLopez / Fassio
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 8
38%
52%
20%
54%
33%
21%
0%
0%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
39%
50%
24%
52%
40%
26%
0%
0%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 84%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 84%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
37%
55%
16%
57%
0%
16%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.