The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 29, 2026

Dominguez / Bellver v Luttikhuis / Hemmes

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Bellver

40%

Avg Elo 1472

Luttikhuis / Hemmes

60%

Avg Elo 1508

Elo gap 36

Dominguez / Bellver won as slight underdogs (40%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / BellverLuttikhuis / Hemmes

55%
Points won
45%
55%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
45%
55%
1st-serve points won
47%
56%
2nd-serve points won
29%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
100%
Break points converted
80%
6
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
56%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
44%
56%
1st-serve points won
50%
57%
2nd-serve points won
25%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
100%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
55%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
45%
55%
1st-serve points won
45%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.