QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 29, 2026
Stellato / Sussarello v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Stellato / Sussarello
27%
Avg Elo 1536
Lopez / Fassio
73%
Avg Elo 1624
Elo gap 88
Lopez / Fassio delivered as 73% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stellato / SussarelloLopez / Fassio
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 61%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 64%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 9
41%
39%
42%
36%
75%
42%
40%
50%
7
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 60%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 63%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
46%
40%
51%
37%
67%
50%
60%
50%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 70%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 67%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
30%
38%
24%
33%
100%
25%
20%
0%
2
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.