Round of 32MenSeptember 29, 2026
Goñi / Alonso v Montiel / Santigosa
Pre-match odds
Upset70%
Avg Elo 1759
30%
Avg Elo 1684
Elo gap 75
Montiel / Santigosa won with a 30% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Goñi / AlonsoMontiel / Santigosa
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 56%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.