The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 29, 2026

Rodriguez / Abbate v Alfonso / Libaak

Center Court01:20

Pre-match odds

Rodriguez / Abbate

19%

Avg Elo 1640

Alfonso / Libaak

81%

Avg Elo 1767

Elo gap 127

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodriguez / AbbateAlfonso / Libaak

44%
Points won
56%
60%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
40%
66%
1st-serve points won
70%
14%
2nd-serve points won
80%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
86%
50%
Break points converted
43%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

38%
Points won
62%
57%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
43%
64%
1st-serve points won
85%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
20%
5
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
62%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
38%
68%
1st-serve points won
60%
25%
2nd-serve points won
83%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
50%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.