Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Goenaga / Collado v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Goenaga / Collado
10%
Avg Elo 1641
Guerrero / Leal
90%
Avg Elo 1836
Elo gap 195
Guerrero / Leal delivered as 90% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Goenaga / ColladoGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 69%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 80%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 14
46%
62%
32%
61%
67%
33%
31%
30%
7
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 59%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
32%
45%
20%
41%
67%
22%
0%
0%
3
3
Set 2
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 16%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 12%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
62%
84%
46%
88%
50%
43%
60%
33%
7
4
Set 3
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
44%
59%
29%
57%
75%
32%
17%
25%
6
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.