The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Martinez / Hernandez

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

70%

Avg Elo 1750

Martinez / Hernandez

30%

Avg Elo 1675

Elo gap 75

Campagnolo / Gonzalez delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezMartinez / Hernandez

56%
Points won
44%
76%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
61%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
43%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
77%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
23%
76%
1st-serve points won
64%
100%
2nd-serve points won
60%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
74%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
26%
76%
1st-serve points won
59%
50%
2nd-serve points won
40%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.