Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Diestro / Sintes v Roglan / Aragon
Pre-match odds
Diestro / Sintes
69%
Avg Elo 1642
Roglan / Aragon
31%
Avg Elo 1572
Elo gap 70
Diestro / Sintes delivered as 69% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Diestro / SintesRoglan / Aragon
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 73%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 14
56%
73%
39%
71%
83%
41%
27%
43%
7
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 22%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
58%
76%
38%
78%
50%
42%
0%
100%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 12%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
51%
72%
33%
68%
88%
33%
29%
0%
6
6
Set 3
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 48%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
61%
71%
52%
68%
100%
52%
50%
50%
7
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.

