Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Moragues / Fonteny v Naranjo / Zapata
Pre-match odds
Upset69%
Avg Elo 1618
31%
Avg Elo 1547
Elo gap 71
Naranjo / Zapata won with a 31% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Moragues / FontenyNaranjo / Zapata
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.