Round of 32MenSeptember 29, 2026
Garcia / Aguirre v Tello / Arce
Pre-match odds
Garcia / Aguirre
12%
Avg Elo 1610
Tello / Arce
88%
Avg Elo 1785
Elo gap 175
Tello / Arce delivered as 88% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Garcia / AguirreTello / Arce
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 30%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 12
47%
58%
34%
57%
70%
35%
20%
50%
5
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
69%
27%
68%
80%
28%
0%
0%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 55%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 6
45%
47%
42%
45%
60%
44%
25%
50%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.