Round of 32MenSeptember 29, 2026
Gil / Lijo v Mouriño / Quilez
Pre-match odds
Gil / Lijo
55%
Avg Elo 1627
Mouriño / Quilez
45%
Avg Elo 1609
Elo gap 18
Gil / Lijo delivered as 55% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gil / LijoMouriño / Quilez
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 38%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 46%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
54%
60%
46%
62%
54%
43%
62%
40%
6
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
52%
61%
44%
58%
75%
41%
100%
29%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
56%
59%
50%
67%
20%
50%
50%
67%
6
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.