Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Stupaczuk / Sanz v Axelsson / Ortega
Pre-match odds
Stupaczuk / Sanz
93%
Avg Elo 1825
Axelsson / Ortega
7%
Avg Elo 1598
Elo gap 227
Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 93% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stupaczuk / SanzAxelsson / Ortega
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
58%
62%
53%
63%
57%
53%
60%
71%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 38%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 37%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
61%
60%
62%
61%
50%
63%
50%
100%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
56%
64%
45%
65%
60%
42%
67%
50%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.