Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026
Castaño / Hernandez v Prins / De Kroon
Pre-match odds
Castaño / Hernandez
54%
Avg Elo 1604
Prins / De Kroon
46%
Avg Elo 1590
Elo gap 15
Castaño / Hernandez won a near coin flip (54%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castaño / HernandezPrins / De Kroon
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
59%
74%
43%
73%
100%
42%
50%
100%
6
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
56%
75%
38%
75%
0%
37%
50%
100%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
62%
72%
50%
70%
100%
50%
50%
100%
6
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.