The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenSeptember 30, 2026

Olsson / Richters v Gala / Jensen

Center Court01:10

Pre-match odds

Olsson / Richters

10%

Avg Elo 1543

Gala / Jensen

90%

Avg Elo 1735

Elo gap 192

Gala / Jensen delivered as 90% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Olsson / RichtersGala / Jensen

42%
Points won
58%
49%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
51%
49%
1st-serve points won
65%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
45%
4
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

33%
Points won
67%
41%
Points won on serve
86%
14%
Points won on return
59%
40%
1st-serve points won
85%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
60%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
43%
2
Longest run of points
7
3
Service games
3

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
56%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
44%
56%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
71%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
20%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.