Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Montiel / Santigosa
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
99%
Avg Elo 2102
Montiel / Santigosa
1%
Avg Elo 1711
Elo gap 391
Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloMontiel / Santigosa
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 58%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 8
58%
69%
46%
70%
60%
48%
42%
30%
7
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
57%
67%
44%
70%
33%
43%
50%
50%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
59%
74%
48%
71%
100%
52%
38%
25%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.