The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Diestro / Sintes

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

78%

Avg Elo 1763

Diestro / Sintes

22%

Avg Elo 1656

Elo gap 108

Campagnolo / Gonzalez delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezDiestro / Sintes

60%
Points won
40%
75%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
50%
10
Longest run of points
4
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
67%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
83%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
17%
81%
1st-serve points won
54%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.