Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026
Naranjo / Zapata v Navarro / Di Nenno
Pre-match odds
Naranjo / Zapata
3%
Avg Elo 1570
Navarro / Di Nenno
97%
Avg Elo 1869
Elo gap 299
Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 97% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Naranjo / ZapataNavarro / Di Nenno
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 62%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 62%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 7
36%
44%
26%
38%
83%
26%
20%
0%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 80%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 86%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 92%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 3
20%
14%
25%
8%
100%
29%
0%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
44%
56%
26%
52%
80%
25%
33%
0%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.